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Bond Funds?

 
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Art Harris
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 7:15 pm    Post subject: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

I feel comfortable choosing equity funds for my two 401k accounts, but
not when it comes to fixed income investments.

Currently, the "fixed" portion of my accounts are "Stable Value"
funds. Due to the inverted yield curve, these funds are yielding about
5%. Would it make sense to move some or all of the money in these
Stable Value funds into true bond funds? Or should I wait until the
returns on the Stable Value funds start to drop?

The 3-year annualized returns on some of the popular bond funds
(VBMFX, VBIIX, FBIDX) are around 3 percent which seems pretty poor. If
I do invest in a bond index fund, would an intermediate term fund make
more sense than a "total" bond fund? Safety is my primary concern for
the fixed portion of my portfolio, but I would like to get a decent
return

Thanks,
Art
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Ed
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 8:43 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

You would be better off in your stable value fund at 5% than the funds you
list below.
Higher return means more risk. A multi-sector bond fund would give you that.
T. Rowe Price Spectrum Income or Loomis Sayles Bond fund could provide
higher returns.
Keep in mind that if interest rates rise bond prices fall.


"Art Harris" <n2ah@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:1174486513.568779.127930@l75g2000hse.googlegroups.com...
Quote:
I feel comfortable choosing equity funds for my two 401k accounts, but
not when it comes to fixed income investments.

Currently, the "fixed" portion of my accounts are "Stable Value"
funds. Due to the inverted yield curve, these funds are yielding about
5%. Would it make sense to move some or all of the money in these
Stable Value funds into true bond funds? Or should I wait until the
returns on the Stable Value funds start to drop?

The 3-year annualized returns on some of the popular bond funds
(VBMFX, VBIIX, FBIDX) are around 3 percent which seems pretty poor. If
I do invest in a bond index fund, would an intermediate term fund make
more sense than a "total" bond fund? Safety is my primary concern for
the fixed portion of my portfolio, but I would like to get a decent
return

Thanks,
Art
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Ron Hardin
Guest





PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 9:10 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

I-bonds (the savings bonds) are good, max $30k allowed a year, if you
don't want the money in sooner than 5 years. No tax until cashed,
inflation-proof, and not bad interest rate. Great if your goal
is not to get rich but to stay rich. Any bank sells them and they
come by mail, or you can buy them online in book entry.

Buying and rolling over 2yr Treasuries will more or less match
inflation without subjecting you to risk to principal from interest
rate changes. Again a stay rich investment.

Bond funds with long maturities are risky no matter how much they
diversify. They diversify against default risk, not against interest
rate risk, and it's interest rate risk that gets you.

--
Ron Hardin
rhhardin@mindspring.com

On the internet, nobody knows you're a jerk.
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Mark Freeland
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 11:45 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

"Art Harris" <n2ah@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:1174486513.568779.127930@l75g2000hse.googlegroups.com...

Quote:
Currently, the "fixed" portion of my accounts are "Stable Value"
funds. Due to the inverted yield curve, these funds are yielding about
5%.

This suggests you may not understand what a Stable Value fund is. These are
baskets of insurance contracts (guaranteed investment contracts - GICs) that
are held to maturity. They are comparable in returns to intermediate bonds.

"Next generation" investments by stable value funds include "synthetic"
GICs. Synthetics look like GICs, but have may have bonds underlying them,
with insurance wrappers, rather than being simply insurance contracts.

Here's a pretty simple (though old - 1999) intro to stable value funds.
http://www.infoplease.com/finance/tips/money/moneyman_082599.html

FASB technical description of GICs and synthetic GICs:
http://www.fasb.org/derivatives/issuea16.shtml

They are not ultra short bond funds.

Mark Freeland
BnetOnewsX@sbcglobal.net
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Mark Freeland
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 12:08 am    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

"Ron Hardin" <rhhardin@mindspring.com> wrote in message
news:46015914.D41@mindspring.com...
Quote:
I-bonds (the savings bonds) are good, max $30k allowed a year,

Max is $60K/SSN/year:

"$30,000 in TreasuryDirect and $30,000 in paper bonds"
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/products/prod_ibonds_glance.htm

Mark Freeland
BnetOnewsX@sbcglobal.net
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Bucky
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 12:27 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

On Mar 21, 9:10 am, Ron Hardin <rhhar...@mindspring.com> wrote:
Quote:
I-bonds (the savings bonds) are good

i-bonds and treasury bills/notes are not available in his 401k
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Bucky
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 12:34 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

On Mar 21, 7:15 am, "Art Harris" <n...@hotmail.com> wrote:
Quote:
Would it make sense to move some or all of the money in these
Stable Value funds into true bond funds? Or should I wait until the
returns on the Stable Value funds start to drop?

You could wait until Stable Value yields starts to drop, but if you
are investing for long term (over 5 years), you wouldn't want your
money in stable value.

Quote:
The 3-year annualized returns on some of the popular bond funds
(VBMFX, VBIIX, FBIDX) are around 3 percent which seems pretty poor.

well, that's because interest rates have been steadily rising over the
past 3 years. Bond funds past performance doesn't really have any
impact on future performance. I think what's important is the current
yield. Current yield for VBMFX and VBIIX is around 4.9%, so that's
pretty good. You'll be getting a return close to 4.9% in the next year
year, rather than the 3% from the past 3 years.

Quote:
If I do invest in a bond index fund, would an intermediate term fund make
more sense than a "total" bond fund? Safety is my primary concern for
the fixed portion of my portfolio, but I would like to get a decent
return

Then you want Total Bond market. Just look at the annual returns.
Intermediate is more volatile. Total is less volatile, and maybe
slightly higher return since it has long bonds.
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Ron Hardin
Guest





PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 1:45 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

Bucky wrote:
Quote:

On Mar 21, 9:10 am, Ron Hardin <rhhar...@mindspring.com> wrote:
I-bonds (the savings bonds) are good

i-bonds and treasury bills/notes are not available in his 401k

The I-bonds are their own 401k, except they mature on you in 30 years,
if you're further out than that in planning.

--
Ron Hardin
rhhardin@mindspring.com

On the internet, nobody knows you're a jerk.
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P.Schuman
Guest





PostPosted: Mon Mar 26, 2007 7:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

Quote:
Then you want Total Bond market. Just look at the annual returns.
Intermediate is more volatile. Total is less volatile, and maybe
slightly higher return since it has long bonds.


I was surprised to see that VBMFX has rather shorter/intermediate maturity
bonds...
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hl?s=VBMFX
---
BOND HOLDINGS

Averages VBMFX Category Avg
Maturity 7.10 7.94
Duration 4.60 4.57
Credit Quality AAA AA
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Jerry
Guest





PostPosted: Mon Mar 26, 2007 8:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Bond Funds? Reply with quote

Unless you are very close to retirement, I would not even have a fixed
income portion. If you are near and want something that will definitely
not drop, I would just use a money market fund. A high yield equity fund
that is trading at a big discount to NAV is RTU. This should give
reasonable stability with much greater returns.

Jerry
"Art Harris" <n2ah@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:1174486513.568779.127930@l75g2000hse.googlegroups.com...
Quote:
I feel comfortable choosing equity funds for my two 401k accounts, but
not when it comes to fixed income investments.

Currently, the "fixed" portion of my accounts are "Stable Value"
funds. Due to the inverted yield curve, these funds are yielding about
5%. Would it make sense to move some or all of the money in these
Stable Value funds into true bond funds? Or should I wait until the
returns on the Stable Value funds start to drop?

The 3-year annualized returns on some of the popular bond funds
(VBMFX, VBIIX, FBIDX) are around 3 percent which seems pretty poor. If
I do invest in a bond index fund, would an intermediate term fund make
more sense than a "total" bond fund? Safety is my primary concern for
the fixed portion of my portfolio, but I would like to get a decent
return

Thanks,
Art
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