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P.Schuman Guest
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Posted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 6:43 am Post subject: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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just wanted a new thread with a wider subject/topic title
and snip'd the other text...
Now - what to do with $10k as a starting point ?
------------------------------------ -
found a whole new area of SPDR's to read about,
and how they approach segmenting the S&P into 9 strategic SPDRs.
http://www.spdrindex.com/performance/
but then....
http://news.morningstar.com/etf/Lists/ETFReturns.html
and then going to each area and doing a little more research.
http://www.powershares.com/products.aspx?ticker=PYZ
http://www.spdrindex.com/eqsnaps/index.cfm?story=snapshot&symbol=XLB
Also, tnx for the pointers on TIE, and the various other ETF's
| Quote: |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX)
Jim Cramer just said (5 minutes ago) it's going much higher.
If you trust Cramer's judgment.
My choices in the basic materials sector are
Titanium Metals Corp. (TIE)
WisdomTree International Basic Materials (DBN)
I track 7 basic materials ETF's and they are all doing well.
PowerShares Dynamic Basic Materials (PYZ) is currently leading year to
date.
There are 9 SPDR Select Sectors. Together they make up the S&P500.
Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) is leading the 9 by a wide margin,
Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) is in second place.
--------------------
Now that FCX is in the process of acquiring PD,
does it make sense to still hold USERX
or should I just swp it for FCX directly ?
I've been in and out of USERX over the years,
and was holding it... but looking for some copper with PD. |
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Gary C Guest
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Posted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 8:48 am Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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"P.Schuman" <pschuman_no_spam_me@interserv.com> wrote in message
news:a50Mh.8707$yW.7497@newssvr11.news.prodigy.net...
| Quote: |
Also, tnx for the pointers on TIE, and the various other ETF's
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Two other also with TIE.
RTI and ATI. |
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rono Guest
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Posted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 4:31 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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On Mar 20, 9:43 pm, "P.Schuman" <pschuman_no_spam...@interserv.com>
wrote:
| Quote: |
just wanted a new thread with a wider subject/topic title
and snip'd the other text...
Now - what to do with $10k as a starting point ?
------------------------------------ -
found a whole new area of SPDR's to read about,
and how they approach segmenting the S&P into 9 strategic SPDRs.http://www.spdrindex.com/performance/
but then....http://news.morningstar.com/etf/Lists/ETFReturns.html
and then going to each area and doing a little more research.http://www.powershares.com/products.aspx?ticker=PYZhttp://www.spdrindex.com/eqsnaps/index.cfm?story=snapshot&symbol=XLB
Also, tnx for the pointers on TIE, and the various other ETF's
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX)
Jim Cramer just said (5 minutes ago) it's going much higher.
If you trust Cramer's judgment.
My choices in the basic materials sector are
Titanium Metals Corp. (TIE)
WisdomTree International Basic Materials (DBN)
I track 7 basic materials ETF's and they are all doing well.
PowerShares Dynamic Basic Materials (PYZ) is currently leading year to
date.
There are 9 SPDR Select Sectors. Together they make up the S&P500.
Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) is leading the 9 by a wide margin,
Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) is in second place.
--------------------
Howdy, |
Not really what you're after but here's the way I've been playing the
sector.
I'm not as conservant with ETF's as Ed, so haven't been using them as
much.
natural resource funds - Price PRNEX and US Global PSPFX
precious metals funds - tocqueville TGLDX and US Global UNWPX
Ag commodities ETF - DBA
Silver ETF - SLV
Central Fund of Canada - CEF - closed end fund that's 60/40 gold/
silver bullion
timber stock PCL
non-precious mining stocks - BHP, RIO, PCU
gold stocks - GG, AUY
palladium stock - PAL
silver stocks - CDE, PAAS, SLW, SSRI, AEMLW
silver penny stocks - SLGLF.OB, STVZF.PK, SVMFF.PK, YZCCF.PK
This is how I am playing this sort of thing right now.
peace,
rono
| Quote: |
Now that FCX is in the process of acquiring PD,
does it make sense to still hold USERX
or should I just swp it for FCX directly ?
I've been in and out of USERX over the years,
and was holding it... but looking for some copper with PD.- Hide quoted text -
- Show quoted text -- Hide quoted text -
- Show quoted text - |
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Evojeesus Guest
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Posted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 7:00 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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On Mar 21, 12:31 pm, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
| Quote: |
natural resource funds - Price PRNEX and US Global PSPFX
precious metals funds - tocqueville TGLDX and US Global UNWPX
Ag commodities ETF - DBA
Silver ETF - SLV
Central Fund of Canada - CEF - closed end fund that's 60/40 gold/
silver bullion
timber stock PCL
non-precious mining stocks - BHP, RIO, PCU
gold stocks - GG, AUY
palladium stock - PAL
silver stocks - CDE, PAAS, SLW, SSRI, AEMLW
silver penny stocks - SLGLF.OB, STVZF.PK, SVMFF.PK, YZCCF.PK
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How about uranium, it's a metal too after all? |
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Ed Guest
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Posted: Wed Mar 21, 2007 8:35 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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"Evojeesus" <evojeesus@mailinator.com> wrote in message
news:1174485609.186455.127610@o5g2000hsb.googlegroups.com...
| Quote: |
On Mar 21, 12:31 pm, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
natural resource funds - Price PRNEX and US Global PSPFX
precious metals funds - tocqueville TGLDX and US Global UNWPX
Ag commodities ETF - DBA
Silver ETF - SLV
Central Fund of Canada - CEF - closed end fund that's 60/40 gold/
silver bullion
timber stock PCL
non-precious mining stocks - BHP, RIO, PCU
gold stocks - GG, AUY
palladium stock - PAL
silver stocks - CDE, PAAS, SLW, SSRI, AEMLW
silver penny stocks - SLGLF.OB, STVZF.PK, SVMFF.PK, YZCCF.PK
How about uranium, it's a metal too after all?
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Cameco, CCJ |
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rono Guest
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Posted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 4:36 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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On Mar 21, 10:00 am, "Evojeesus" <evojee...@mailinator.com> wrote:
| Quote: |
On Mar 21, 12:31 pm, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
natural resource funds - Price PRNEX and US Global PSPFX
Howdy, |
| Quote: |
How about uranium, it's a metal too after all?
|
As Ed mentioned, the pure play stock is CCJ Cameco. However, BHP is
the 4th largest producer in the world. I bought BHP for several
reasons. It's either the largest or second largest full spectrum
miner in the world - they mine everything. They pay a decent dividend
(2.4%). They are Australian and their number one trading partner is
China so indirectly, they're a China play.
As for uranium, I see it as a bit dicey as a pure play and that's why
I've avoided CCJ all these years. I know all about the global warming
and coal fired power plant arguements. However, there is still a HUGE
faction that doesn't want any more nuke plants regardless. This anti-
bloc is sufficient in and of itself, to drive up the cost of
additional nuke plants. Part of their arguement is disposal and I
haven't seen any solutions to this problem. The other issue that
concerns me a LOT is that from what I've always read, there is a very
limited supply of feed stock uranium available in the earth and that
the supply problem for uranium going foward is actually worse than for
oil.
So, I don't want to pure play this rascal, but will just own BHP and
cover the space.
peace,
rono |
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Evojeesus Guest
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Posted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 6:31 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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On Mar 22, 12:36 pm, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
| Quote: |
On Mar 21, 10:00 am, "Evojeesus" <evojee...@mailinator.com> wrote:> On Mar 21, 12:31 pm, "rono"
How about uranium, it's a metal too after all?
As Ed mentioned, the pure play stock is CCJ Cameco.
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My understanding is that they've hedged a lot of their production at a
very low uranium price. Also, the real condition of the Cigar Lake
mine is still unknown.
| Quote: |
As for uranium, I see it as a bit dicey as a pure play and that's why
I've avoided CCJ all these years. I know all about the global warming
and coal fired power plant arguements. However, there is still a HUGE
faction that doesn't want any more nuke plants regardless. This anti-
bloc is sufficient in and of itself, to drive up the cost of
additional nuke plants.
|
Yes, but won't the anti-bloc also depress the price of uranium stocks?
In the end many countries might be forced to build more nuclear power,
regardless of the opposition. The other option is coal, which is
environmentally disastrous.
| Quote: |
Part of their arguement is disposal and I
haven't seen any solutions to this problem.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4948378.stm
| Quote: |
The other issue that
concerns me a LOT is that from what I've always read, there is a very
limited supply of feed stock uranium available in the earth and that
the supply problem for uranium going foward is actually worse than for
oil.
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Should make an excellent investment opportunity then, if that's true
(I doubt it).
| Quote: |
So, I don't want to pure play this rascal, but will just own BHP and
cover the space.
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Won't BHP or any general mining stock get badly hit if there's a
global recession? The demand for uranium is highly inelastic,
recession or not. |
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Ed Guest
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Posted: Fri Mar 23, 2007 9:20 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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I think USU is another interesting uranium play.
"rono" <overtonr@cablespeed.com> wrote in message
news:1174563389.378478.291290@n59g2000hsh.googlegroups.com...
| Quote: |
On Mar 21, 10:00 am, "Evojeesus" <evojee...@mailinator.com> wrote:
On Mar 21, 12:31 pm, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
natural resource funds - Price PRNEX and US Global PSPFX
Howdy,
How about uranium, it's a metal too after all?
As Ed mentioned, the pure play stock is CCJ Cameco. However, BHP is
the 4th largest producer in the world. I bought BHP for several
reasons. It's either the largest or second largest full spectrum
miner in the world - they mine everything. They pay a decent dividend
(2.4%). They are Australian and their number one trading partner is
China so indirectly, they're a China play.
As for uranium, I see it as a bit dicey as a pure play and that's why
I've avoided CCJ all these years. I know all about the global warming
and coal fired power plant arguements. However, there is still a HUGE
faction that doesn't want any more nuke plants regardless. This anti-
bloc is sufficient in and of itself, to drive up the cost of
additional nuke plants. Part of their arguement is disposal and I
haven't seen any solutions to this problem. The other issue that
concerns me a LOT is that from what I've always read, there is a very
limited supply of feed stock uranium available in the earth and that
the supply problem for uranium going foward is actually worse than for
oil.
So, I don't want to pure play this rascal, but will just own BHP and
cover the space.
peace,
rono
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darkness39 Guest
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Posted: Sat Mar 24, 2007 2:02 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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On Mar 22, 11:36 am, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
| Quote: |
On Mar 21, 10:00 am, "Evojeesus" <evojee...@mailinator.com> wrote:> On Mar 21, 12:31 pm, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
natural resource funds - Price PRNEX and US Global PSPFX
Howdy,
How about uranium, it's a metal too after all?
As Ed mentioned, the pure play stock is CCJ Cameco. However, BHP is
the 4th largest producer in the world.
|
BHP from memory is very much an iron ore/ coal play. As long as China
keeps growing, BHP is in a good position.
I bought BHP for several
| Quote: |
reasons. It's either the largest or second largest full spectrum
miner in the world - they mine everything. They pay a decent dividend
(2.4%). They are Australian and their number one trading partner is
China so indirectly, they're a China play.
As for uranium, I see it as a bit dicey as a pure play and that's why
I've avoided CCJ all these years. I know all about the global warming
and coal fired power plant arguements. However, there is still a HUGE
faction that doesn't want any more nuke plants regardless. This anti-
bloc is sufficient in and of itself, to drive up the cost of
additional nuke plants.
|
Depends very much which country. I think Eastern Europe will go for
nuclear, and so too will China and India. US and UK is uncertain.
Ditto Canada and Australia. Germany probably not. Finland is
building one. The French 'third generation' reactor is due at
Flamanville in 2016/17.
The big markets will be China, India and other third world countries.
Believe it or not, places like Iran have a credible case for nuclear
power: expanding populations, and better things to do with their gas
reserves.
In practical terms, I think it is turning on nuclear power. The big
factor was Putin's boys at Gazprom tweaking the Ukrainian tap last
winter. Europe was in the middle of a cold snap, and suddenly the gas
wasn't coming through. British wholesale gas prices rose 10 fold.
Suddenly the world was reminded that the Russians are a political
black box, with uncertain motives and behaviour.
The Russians are talking about creating a 'gas OPEC'. In actual fact,
world gas reserves are more concentrated than world oil reserves, so
there is the potential (although I can't see Qatar, Nigeria, Russia
and Iran getting together).
Since then, even the Germans have started a hard rethink about nuclear
power (although I don't think they will build new stations, they will
certainly delay phasing out the existing ones).
Nuclear power remains an expensive power source. A successful
terrorist attack on the nuclear industry could easily close it all
down. And the sites were never designed for the sorts of people who
hijack airliners and crash them into buildings, nor the sorts of
people who don't care about their own lives.
But the recent EU agreement to reduce greenhouse gases by 20% by 2020,
and 60% by 2050, is a measure of the minimum the developed world will
have to do in the next 40 or 50 years to fight global warming. The 10
hottest years ever recorded have been in the last 20. The hottest
summer ever was 2005, I believe. Temperatures in Dewember-January in
the northern hemisphere were as much as 20 degrees centigrade above
average. This is going to be the obsession of the mid 21st century.
The cheapest way to do something about global warming is to do
something about electric power production (roughly 40% of all CO2
emissions). And in particular, to use less coal, which is over twice
as polluting (per unit of electric power) as gas. Whilst wind power
has its attractions (and hence the boom in wind power in Texas), for
baseload power, nuclear is an attractive technology.
Conservation, wind, combined heat and power, nuclear- -each has a role
to play in constructing the future power portfolio. Carbon
Sequestration from coal plants is not yet a fully operational
technology, but has a lot of promise.
Part of their arguement is disposal and I
| Quote: |
haven't seen any solutions to this problem.
|
The big one. The French solution is to announce that they are not
disposing, they are storing. Local communities have accepted this--
particularly as it creates permanent jobs in places with high
unemployment. In addition, the French are much more trusting of
government technocrats than the Americans.
The other issue that
| Quote: |
concerns me a LOT is that from what I've always read, there is a very
limited supply of feed stock uranium available in the earth and that
the supply problem for uranium going foward is actually worse than for
oil.
|
The short term situation is truly desperate. Half of the world's
uranium supplies come from existing stockpiles (Russian bombs, nuclear
power plants) that are being dismantled. Those stockpiles are running
down.
Environmental restrictions on mining post a major obstacle. And then
Cigar Lake (10% of world supply) flooded, and will not be producing
before 2009/10.
Geologically, however, I am given to understand that uranium is one of
the world's most common heavy minerals. There are undeveloped sites
in the US, Canada, Australia, as well as Africa. There has been a
complete absence of investment because of pollution problems and the
end of the Cold War. So with high prices, there will be investment in
new resources.
| Quote: |
So, I don't want to pure play this rascal, but will just own BHP and
cover the space.
peace,
rono |
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darkness39 Guest
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Posted: Sat Mar 24, 2007 2:04 pm Post subject: Re: Metals & Materials - stocks, funds, ETFs |
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On Mar 22, 11:36 am, "rono" <overt...@cablespeed.com> wrote:
want to pure play this rascal, but will just own BHP and
| Quote: |
cover the space.
peace,
rono
|
I would add to my thoughts, if you believe in Peak Oil, then nuclear
power, and uranium, are complete no brainers. There's no other way,
within a 20-30 year time horizon, to meet civilisation's appetite for
energy. |
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